Pakistan vs USA qualification scenario: How India can help Babar Azam & Co. reach Super 8

‘Qudrat ka Nizam’ might or might not work in Pakistan’s favor this time around! The Babar Azam-led side’s T20 World Cup 2024 campaign has been a rollercoaster ride. A recent convincing win against Canada reignited their qualification hopes, but progression to the Super 8 stage now hinges on an unlikely source – their arch-rivals, India. Yes, you read that right. Pakistan’s fate rests on India’s upcoming match against the USA. A win for the Men in Blue would be a massive favor for the Men in Green. Here’s why:

If India win, Pakistan win!

Pakistan needs to win their remaining match against Ireland (June 16) with significant margins. However, just winning isn’t enough. They also need some help from other teams, particularly the USA’s downfall.

If India defeats the USA in tonight’s top of the table clash, it would significantly dent the co-host’s Net Run Rate (NRR). This creates a crucial opportunity for Pakistan. Should Ireland also manage to beat USA in their final group stage encounter, Pakistan could find themselves tied on points with the Americans. In this scenario, NRR would be the deciding factor. A strong win against Ireland, coupled with India’s win over USA, could see Pakistan edging past on a superior NRR.

For USA, they need just one point to go past Pakistan’s 4 points (if they win against Ireland). The Monank Patel-led side are currently with 4 points and have a NRR of +0.626. If one of their matches gets washed out, it will be game over for Pakistan.

The situation is a fascinating twist of destiny. The two cricketing giants, usually locked in fierce competition, now find themselves in a scenario where India’s success becomes paramount for Pakistan’s survival. The upcoming India-USA match has transcended its usual group stage significance. It’s become a do-or-die encounter for Pakistan’s World Cup dreams.

Will India, perhaps unwittingly, become Pakistan’s unlikely hero in this World Cup? The answer will unfold in the coming days, but one thing is certain: the cricketing world is in for a thrilling spectacle as Pakistan’s fate hangs in the balance.